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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
La Primitiva · draw
ResultLa Primitiva
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013draw 2,434 of 2,558 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
La Primitiva was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 2,433 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 298 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,433 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 19, 32, 47) with the draw of 11 August 2007 — its closest relative in 2,433 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 October 2011): 30, 32 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 180 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 57% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 10,819 winners, 14% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 5 | €80,397 |
| 5 | 192 | €4,187 |
| 4 | 10,819 | €111 |
| 3 | 213,831 | €8.00 |
| R | 0 | €1.00 |