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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
La Primitiva · draw
ResultLa Primitiva
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013draw 2,370 of 2,558 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
La Primitiva was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 2,369 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 290 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,369 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 5 of 6 numbers (14, 30, 33, 38, 45) with the draw of 31 December 2005 — its closest relative in 2,369 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 March 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 162 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 250,663 winners, 7% fewer than the 269k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | €2,706,519 |
| 5+C | 12 | €34,699 |
| 5 | 277 | €3,006 |
| 4 | 13,948 | €89.56 |
| 3 | 250,663 | €8.00 |
| R | 0 | €1.00 |