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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
La Primitiva · draw
ResultLa Primitiva
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013draw 2,359 of 2,558 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
La Primitiva was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 2,358 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 289 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,358 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 21, 22, 37) with the draw of 25 December 2010 — its closest relative in 2,358 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 January 2011): 37, 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 157 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 13,981 winners, 13% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | €1,377,987 |
| 5+C | 9 | €47,111 |
| 5 | 236 | €3,593 |
| 4 | 13,981 | €90.98 |
| 3 | 272,333 | €8.00 |
| R | 0 | €1.00 |