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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
La Primitiva · draw
ResultLa Primitiva
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013draw 229 of 2,558 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
La Primitiva was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 228 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 1990 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 228 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 24, 46) with the draw of 22 September 1988 — its closest relative in 228 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 March 1990): 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 195 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 546,163 winners, 7% fewer than the 587k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 47 | €16,868 |
| 5 | 575 | €2,604 |
| 4 | 34,398 | €51.22 |
| 3 | 546,163 | €4.84 |