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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 October 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 18
  3. 26
  4. 32
  5. 34
  6. 7

Jackpot€10,436,684

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 304 of 868 under them

← 2015-10-18All recent draws2015-11-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 18 26 32 34 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd1th
  • low66th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

1028times
1825times
2628times
3230times
34

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-25

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 616k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€198.5K
  • 2+028%€483K
  • 0+137%€627.2K
  • 5 other tiers24%€403.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

734times

Every number was expected about that many times after 303 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 26, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 October 2015 — its closest relative in 303 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2015): 10, 26, 32 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.0 by chance€198,519
  • 4+136≈ 54 by chance€1,003
  • 4+0271≈ 484 by chance€155
  • 3+11,650≈ 2.6k by chance€29.17
  • 3+010,858≈ 23k by chance€14.41
  • 2+124,202≈ 40k by chance€4.97
  • 2+0160,989≈ 364k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1418,135≈ 418k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 160,989 winners, 56% fewer than the 364k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€198,519
    4+136€1,003
    4+0271€155
    3+11,650€29.17
    3+010,858€14.41
    2+124,202€4.97
    2+0160,989€3.00
    0+1418,135€1.50