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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 January 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 22
  3. 28
  4. 31
  5. 54
  6. 6

Jackpot€5,475,294

The crowdHeld 40% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 262 of 868 under them

← 2014-12-28All recent draws2015-01-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 22 28 31 54 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd10th
  • low34th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

1023times
2227times
2826times
3123times
54

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 466k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€218.1K
  • 2+031%€453.1K
  • 0+130%€432.3K
  • 4 other tiers24%€341.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

626times

Every number was expected about that many times after 261 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 December 2014 — its closest relative in 261 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.4 by chance
no winners
  • 4+19≈ 37 by chance€24,238
  • 4+0215≈ 333 by chance€182
  • 3+11,006≈ 1.8k by chance€44.48
  • 3+09,488≈ 16k by chance€15.33
  • 2+116,275≈ 28k by chance€6.87
  • 2+0151,024≈ 251k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1288,172≈ 288k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,006 winners, 43% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+19€24,238
    4+0215€182
    3+11,006€44.48
    3+09,488€15.33
    2+116,275€6.87
    2+0151,024€3.00
    0+1288,172€1.50