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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 21 July 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 16
  3. 40
  4. 41
  5. 45
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 17

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,047 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-07-20All recent draws2024-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 16 40 41 45 46 + 4 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 495 of each

5485times
16514times
40529times
41501times
45

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€659.0Kto 413k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 526%€171.6K
  • 334%€224.7K
  • R27%€176.9K
  • 1 other tier13%€85.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.25 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

521times
46512times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,046 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 41, 45, 46) with the draw of 23 October 2023 — its closest relative in 4,046 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

193

The numbers add up to 193 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41, 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.0 by chance
no winners
  • 540≈ 61 by chance€4,290
  • 42,845≈ 3.3k by chance€30.16
  • 356,163≈ 61k by chance€4.00
  • R353,852€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,845 winners, 15% fewer than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    540€4,290
    42,845€30.16
    356,163€4.00
    R353,852€0.50