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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 20 July 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 31
  7. 8
  8. 25

Jackpot€2,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,046 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-07-19All recent draws2024-07-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 3 27 28 31 + 8 2529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 495 of each

1498times
2497times
3481times
27516times
28

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-20

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 620k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 671%€2.5M
  • 311%€379.8K
  • R7.5%€260.2K
  • 3 other tiers10%€356.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.42 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

499times
31506times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,045 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 27, 28, 31) with the draw of 4 May 2018 — its closest relative in 4,045 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 July 2024): 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 2–3, 27–28. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,463,491
  • 5+C2≈ 5.0 by chance€79,106
  • 5102≈ 103 by chance€776
  • 45,078≈ 5.7k by chance€23.37
  • 394,941≈ 103k by chance€4.00
  • R520,313€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,078 winners, 10% fewer than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,463,491
    5+C2€79,106
    5102€776
    45,078€23.37
    394,941€4.00
    R520,313€0.50