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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 12 March 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 1
  8. 47

Jackpot€4,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,916 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-03-11All recent draws2024-03-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 12 15 41 48 + 1 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 479 of each

5467times
11463times
12463times
15473times
41

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-12

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 762k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.51

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€194.2K
  • 338%€467.4K
  • R26%€319.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%€242.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.51 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

481times
48469times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,915 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 12, 15, 48) with the draw of 8 August 2022 — its closest relative in 3,915 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 6.2 by chance€194,194
  • 5111≈ 126 by chance€875
  • 46,181≈ 7.0k by chance€23.56
  • 3116,845≈ 127k by chance€4.00
  • R639,010€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,181 winners, 11% fewer than the 7.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€194,194
    5111€875
    46,181€23.56
    3116,845€4.00
    R639,010€0.50