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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 11 March 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 27
  5. 40
  6. 44
  7. 2
  8. 39

Jackpot€3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,915 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-03-10All recent draws2024-03-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 16 27 40 44 + 2 3929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 479 of each

2478times
8471times
16491times
27498times
40

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€834.2Kto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 38lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€180.3K
  • 416%€135.2K
  • 348%€399.5K
  • 2 other tiers14%€119.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

513times
44470times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,914 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 8, 16, 44) with the draw of 16 March 2022 — its closest relative in 3,914 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2024): 2 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 5.3 by chance
€90,154
  • 598≈ 108 by chance€920
  • 45,343≈ 6.0k by chance€25.31
  • 399,870≈ 108k by chance€4.00
  • R58,016€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,343 winners, 10% fewer than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€90,154
    598€920
    45,343€25.31
    399,870€4.00
    R58,016€0.50