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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 16 December 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 19
  4. 26
  5. 29
  6. 36
  7. 4
  8. 40

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,829 of 4,852 under them

← 2023-12-15All recent draws2023-12-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 19 26 29 36 + 4 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 469 of each

11451times
13468times
19464times
26457times
29

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 506k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 630%€352.8K
  • 327%€312.3K
  • R18%€211.9K
  • 2 other tiers25%€288.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

420times
36502times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,828 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 19, 26, 29) with the draw of 29 August 2019 — its closest relative in 3,828 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€352,802
  • 5+C0≈ 4.1 by chanceno winners
  • 578≈ 85 by chance€2,467
  • 44,230≈ 4.7k by chance€22.75
  • 378,084≈ 85k by chance€4.00
  • R423,760€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,230 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€352,802
    5+C0€0.00
    578€2,467
    44,230€22.75
    378,084€4.00
    R423,760€0.50