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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 15 December 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 39
  5. 43
  6. 48
  7. 7
  8. 45

Jackpot€2,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,828 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-12-14All recent draws2023-12-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 9 15 39 43 48 + 7 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 469 of each

5455times
9468times
15462times
39481times
43

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.6Mto 692k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 669%€2.5M
  • 312%€414.3K
  • R8.1%€291.4K
  • 3 other tiers11%€407.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

429times
48459times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,827 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (5, 15, 39, 43, 48) with the draw of 3 January 2017 — its closest relative in 3,827 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,483,178
  • 5+C3≈ 5.5 by chance€60,318
  • 5136≈ 112 by chance€665
  • 45,703≈ 6.2k by chance€23.80
  • 3103,573≈ 112k by chance€4.00
  • R582,819€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 103,573 winners, 8% fewer than the 112k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,483,178
    5+C3€60,318
    5136€665
    45,703€23.80
    3103,573€4.00
    R582,819€0.50