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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 15 October 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 41
  6. 46
  7. 6
  8. 29

Jackpot€1,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,767 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-10-14All recent draws2023-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 16 23 31 41 46 + 6 2929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 461 of each

10488times
16462times
23449times
31464times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€539Kto 68k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€125.5K
  • 417%€94.1K
  • 348%€256.5K
  • 1 other tier12%€62.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.28 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

458times
46471times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,766 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 16, 23, 41) with the draw of 19 April 2023 — its closest relative in 3,766 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.4 by chance
€125,538
  • 552≈ 69 by chance€1,207
  • 43,406≈ 3.8k by chance€27.64
  • 364,127≈ 70k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,406 winners, 11% fewer than the 3.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€125,538
    552€1,207
    43,406€27.64
    364,127€4.00
    R0€0.50