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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 14 October 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 35
  5. 44
  6. 48
  7. 1
  8. 46

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,766 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-10-13All recent draws2023-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 29 35 44 48 + 1 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 461 of each

3454times
15455times
29414times
35464times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-14

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€671.3Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€151.1K
  • 417%€113.3K
  • 349%€331.3K
  • 1 other tier11%€75.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

448times
48451times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,765 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 29, 35, 48) with the draw of 12 March 2020 — its closest relative in 3,765 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2023): 44, 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.4 by chance
€151,125
  • 582≈ 90 by chance€922
  • 44,426≈ 4.9k by chance€25.61
  • 382,825≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,426 winners, 10% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€151,125
    582€922
    44,426€25.61
    382,825€4.00
    R0€0.50