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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 17 September 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 24
  5. 30
  6. 45
  7. 0
  8. 6

Jackpot€1,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,739 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-09-16All recent draws2023-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 15 24 30 45 + 0 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 458 of each

3450times
9458times
15452times
24468times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2Mto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 672%€1.4M
  • 5+C5.4%€107.9K
  • 316%€322.5K
  • 2 other tiers6.7%€134.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

455times
45483times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,738 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 9, 15, 24) with the draw of 2 September 2023 — its closest relative in 3,738 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,438,134
  • 5+C4≈ 4.3 by chance€26,978
  • 5126≈ 87 by chance€428
  • 45,252≈ 4.8k by chance€15.41
  • 380,614≈ 88k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,252 winners, 9% more than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,438,134
    5+C4€26,978
    5126€428
    45,252€15.41
    380,614€4.00
    R0€0.50