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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 16 September 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 23
  5. 25
  6. 42
  7. 2
  8. 27

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,738 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-09-15All recent draws2023-09-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 16 23 25 42 + 2 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 458 of each

4442times
11443times
16458times
23445times
25

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€675.3Kto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 5+C21%€140.3K
  • 416%€105.2K
  • 353%€359.6K
  • 1 other tier10%€70.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.40 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

473times
42460times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,737 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 16, 25, 42) with the draw of 11 March 2019 — its closest relative in 3,737 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 4.7 by chance
€28,055
  • 594≈ 97 by chance€746
  • 45,961≈ 5.4k by chance€17.65
  • 389,912≈ 98k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,961 winners, 11% more than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€28,055
    594€746
    45,961€17.65
    389,912€4.00
    R0€0.50