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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 23 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 33
  7. 9
  8. 40

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,683 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-22All recent draws2023-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 19 28 30 33 + 9 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 451 of each

8446times
15438times
19453times
28456times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€484.1Kto 66k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+C21%€103.8K
  • 416%€77.8K
  • 352%€250.6K
  • 1 other tier11%€51.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.28 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

446times
33470times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,682 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 19, 28, 30) with the draw of 1 April 2022 — its closest relative in 3,682 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.3 by chance
€103,767
  • 554≈ 68 by chance€961
  • 43,499≈ 3.7k by chance€22.24
  • 362,661≈ 68k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 62,661 winners, 8% fewer than the 68k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€103,767
    554€961
    43,499€22.24
    362,661€4.00
    R0€0.50