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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 22 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 9
  5. 25
  6. 40
  7. 4
  8. 17

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,682 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-07-21All recent draws2023-07-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 6 9 25 40 + 4 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 451 of each

4435times
5442times
6432times
9441times
25

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 654%€759.7K
  • 5+C9.1%€127.6K
  • 325%€352.3K
  • 2 other tiers11%€159.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

466times
40487times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,681 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 25, 40) with the draw of 27 April 2022 — its closest relative in 3,681 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2023): 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 5–6. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€759,731
  • 5+C2≈ 4.7 by chance€63,817
  • 593≈ 95 by chance€686
  • 45,097≈ 5.2k by chance€18.78
  • 388,087≈ 96k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 88,087 winners, 8% fewer than the 96k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€759,731
    5+C2€63,817
    593€686
    45,097€18.78
    388,087€4.00
    R0€0.50