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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 12 May 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 33
  7. 2
  8. 9

Jackpot€2,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,611 of 4,852 under them

← 2023-05-11All recent draws2023-05-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 12 15 21 31 33 + 2 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 442 of each

3437times
12428times
15429times
21453times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 7.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€903.6Kto 133k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.55

Where the money went

  • 5+C20%€178.5K
  • 415%€133.9K
  • 356%€502.0K
  • 1 other tier10%€89.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.55 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

437times
33461times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,610 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 21, 31, 33) with the draw of 1 December 2022 — its closest relative in 3,610 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2023): 33 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 6.6 by chance
€44,620
  • 5168≈ 136 by chance€531
  • 47,598≈ 7.5k by chance€17.62
  • 3125,499≈ 136k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 125,499 winners, 8% fewer than the 136k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€44,620
    5168€531
    47,598€17.62
    3125,499€4.00
    R0€0.50