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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 11 May 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 32
  3. 33
  4. 41
  5. 47
  6. 48
  7. 3
  8. 3

Jackpot€2,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,610 of 4,852 under them

← 2023-05-10All recent draws2023-05-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 32 33 41 47 48 + 3 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 442 of each

13434times
32458times
33460times
41432times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€787.1Kto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€174.7K
  • 417%€131.0K
  • 350%€394.1K
  • 1 other tier11%€87.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.43 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

452times
48433times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,609 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 33, 47, 48) with the draw of 30 March 2019 — its closest relative in 3,609 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

214

The numbers add up to 214 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33, 47–48. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 5.2 by chance
€174,674
  • 570≈ 107 by chance€1,248
  • 45,114≈ 5.9k by chance€25.62
  • 398,514≈ 107k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,114 winners, 13% fewer than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€174,674
    570€1,248
    45,114€25.62
    398,514€4.00
    R0€0.50