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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 17 March 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 32
  4. 39
  5. 42
  6. 48
  7. 0
  8. 35

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,555 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-03-16All recent draws2023-03-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 32 39 42 48 + 0 3529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 435 of each

11427times
14423times
32453times
39438times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.0Mto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 664%€1.3M
  • 5+C8.6%€175.3K
  • 317%€339.9K
  • 2 other tiers11%€219.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

438times
48427times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,554 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (32, 39, 48) with the draw of 11 January 2023 — its closest relative in 3,554 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

186

The numbers add up to 186 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€647,200
  • 5+C1≈ 4.5 by chance€175,295
  • 586≈ 92 by chance€1,019
  • 44,406≈ 5.1k by chance€29.84
  • 384,971≈ 92k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,406 winners, 13% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€647,200
    5+C1€175,295
    586€1,019
    44,406€29.84
    384,971€4.00
    R0€0.50