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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 16 March 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 28
  3. 29
  4. 38
  5. 47
  6. 49
  7. 8
  8. 48

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,554 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-03-15All recent draws2023-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 28 29 38 47 49 + 8 4829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 435 of each

20455times
28436times
29396times
38422times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€638.8Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€154.9K
  • 418%€116.1K
  • 345%€290.3K
  • 1 other tier12%€77.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

441times
49446times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,553 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 28, 29, 47) with the draw of 16 January 2017 — its closest relative in 3,553 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2023): 28, 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

211

The numbers add up to 211 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
6≈ 3.8 by chance
€25,812
  • 578≈ 79 by chance€993
  • 44,027≈ 4.3k by chance€28.84
  • 372,584≈ 79k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 72,584 winners, 8% fewer than the 79k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C6€25,812
    578€993
    44,027€28.84
    372,584€4.00
    R0€0.50