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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 2 July 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 9
  4. 28
  5. 39
  6. 49
  7. 4
  8. 25

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,996 of 4,855 under them

← 2021-07-01All recent draws2021-07-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 9 28 39 49 + 4 2529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 367 of each

4367times
6340times
9357times
28368times
39

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 630%€305.5K
  • 5+C16%€162.9K
  • 332%€325.4K
  • 2 other tiers21%€210.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

361times
49369times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,995 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 9, 49) with the draw of 2 October 2020 — its closest relative in 2,995 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€305,465
  • 5+C1≈ 4.3 by chance€162,914
  • 569≈ 88 by chance€1,181
  • 44,337≈ 4.8k by chance€29.74
  • 381,340≈ 88k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,337 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€305,465
    5+C1€162,914
    569€1,181
    44,337€29.74
    381,340€4.00
    R0€0.50