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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 1 July 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 32

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,995 of 4,855 under them

← 2021-06-30All recent draws2021-07-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 33 34 38 44 + 4 3229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 367 of each

5367times
13369times
33387times
34374times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€943.0Kto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 630%€286.3K
  • 524%€229.1K
  • 333%€306.8K
  • 1 other tier13%€120.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.34 by chance€286,312

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

360times
44359times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,994 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 13, 33, 38) with the draw of 26 June 2020 — its closest relative in 2,994 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2021): 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 4.0 by chanceno winners
  • 578≈ 83 by chance€2,937
  • 44,011≈ 4.6k by chance€30.14
  • 376,694≈ 83k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,011 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€286,312
    5+C0€0.00
    578€2,937
    44,011€30.14
    376,694€4.00
    R0€0.50