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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 16 April 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 19
  3. 38
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 49
  7. 1
  8. 6

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,930 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-04-15All recent draws2021-04-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 19 38 39 41 49 + 1 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 359 of each

14363times
19383times
38355times
39354times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€834.5Kto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€209.8K
  • 420%€166.1K
  • 342%€353.7K
  • 1 other tier13%€104.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

362times
49361times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,929 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 39, 41, 49) with the draw of 29 January 2013 — its closest relative in 2,929 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 April 2021): 41 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

200

The numbers add up to 200 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.7 by chance
€69,925
  • 566≈ 96 by chance€1,589
  • 44,508≈ 5.3k by chance€36.84
  • 388,431≈ 96k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,508 winners, 14% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€69,925
    566€1,589
    44,508€36.84
    388,431€4.00
    R0€0.50