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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 15 April 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 35
  5. 36
  6. 41
  7. 5
  8. 27

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,929 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-04-14All recent draws2021-04-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 21 35 36 41 + 5 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 359 of each

1362times
15358times
21348times
35363times
36

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€757.5Kto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 536%€273.7K
  • 419%€144.4K
  • 345%€339.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

401times
41361times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,928 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 35, 36, 41) with the draw of 20 June 2019 — its closest relative in 2,928 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 April 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.5 by chance
no winners
  • 590≈ 92 by chance€3,041
  • 44,930≈ 5.1k by chance€29.30
  • 384,845≈ 92k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 84,845 winners, 8% fewer than the 92k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    590€3,041
    44,930€29.30
    384,845€4.00
    R0€0.50