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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 26 December 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 27
  6. 43
  7. 5
  8. 30

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,268 of 4,856 under them

← 2018-12-25All recent draws2018-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 21 23 27 43 + 5 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 278 of each

5275times
18277times
21273times
23272times
27

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-26

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€704.4Kto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€158.8K
  • 418%€125.7K
  • 348%€340.5K
  • 1 other tier11%€79.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

279times
43255times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,267 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 21, 23, 43) with the draw of 10 March 2017 — its closest relative in 2,267 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.5 by chance
€158,793
  • 594≈ 92 by chance€845
  • 44,993≈ 5.1k by chance€25.18
  • 385,131≈ 92k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 85,131 winners, 8% fewer than the 92k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€158,793
    594€845
    44,993€25.18
    385,131€4.00
    R0€0.50