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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 25 December 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 13
  4. 35
  5. 45
  6. 46
  7. 1
  8. 17

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,267 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-12-24All recent draws2018-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 13 35 45 46 + 1 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 277 of each

1290times
3278times
13252times
35275times
45

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€311.5Kto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€72.0K
  • 418%€57.0K
  • 347%€146.5K
  • 1 other tier12%€36.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.16 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

277times
46275times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,266 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 35, 45) with the draw of 8 November 2018 — its closest relative in 2,266 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 1.9 by chance
€71,981
  • 531≈ 40 by chance€1,161
  • 42,087≈ 2.2k by chance€27.30
  • 336,635≈ 40k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 36,635 winners, 8% fewer than the 40k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€71,981
    531€1,161
    42,087€27.30
    336,635€4.00
    R0€0.50