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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 24 September 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 40
  6. 45
  7. 3
  8. 8

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,188 of 4,855 under them

← 2018-09-22All recent draws2018-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 11 17 40 45 + 3 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 268 of each

2283times
4253times
11269times
17235times
40

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€682.6Kto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 536%€246.4K
  • 419%€130.0K
  • 345%€306.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

278times
45268times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,187 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 11, 17, 45) with the draw of 15 July 2016 — its closest relative in 2,187 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2018): 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.0 by chance
no winners
  • 575≈ 83 by chance€3,285
  • 43,983≈ 4.6k by chance€32.64
  • 376,556≈ 83k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,983 winners, 13% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    575€3,285
    43,983€32.64
    376,556€4.00
    R0€0.50