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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 22 September 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 21
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 4
  8. 44

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,187 of 4,855 under them

← 2018-09-21All recent draws2018-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 21 30 33 38 40 + 4 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 268 of each

10305times
21265times
30261times
33276times
38

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€605.6Kto 71k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€147.5K
  • 419%€116.8K
  • 344%€267.5K
  • 1 other tier12%€73.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

270times
40277times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,186 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 33, 38, 40) with the draw of 22 August 2018 — its closest relative in 2,186 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2018): 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

172

The numbers add up to 172 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.5 by chance
€73,764
  • 556≈ 72 by chance€1,317
  • 43,767≈ 4.0k by chance€31.00
  • 366,875≈ 73k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 66,875 winners, 8% fewer than the 73k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,764
    556€1,317
    43,767€31.00
    366,875€4.00
    R0€0.50