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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 22 August 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 4
  8. 18

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,160 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-08-21All recent draws2018-08-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 10 33 38 40 + 4 1829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 264 of each

2280times
9255times
10299times
33272times
38

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 645%€537.1K
  • 5+C13%€157.3K
  • 325%€295.9K
  • 2 other tiers17%€203.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

267times
40275times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,159 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 10, 33) with the draw of 5 December 2017 — its closest relative in 2,159 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€537,124
  • 5+C1≈ 3.9 by chance€157,291
  • 569≈ 80 by chance€1,140
  • 43,856≈ 4.4k by chance€32.29
  • 373,982≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,856 winners, 13% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€537,124
    5+C1€157,291
    569€1,140
    43,856€32.29
    373,982€4.00
    R0€0.50