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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 21 August 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 7
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 45
  7. 9
  8. 36

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,159 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-08-20All recent draws2018-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 7 25 28 45 + 9 3629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 264 of each

4248times
6241times
7254times
25276times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€599.4Kto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€129.2K
  • 417%€102.3K
  • 351%€303.4K
  • 1 other tier11%€64.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

269times
45263times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,158 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 25, 45) with the draw of 30 September 2017 — its closest relative in 2,158 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.0 by chance
€43,058
  • 584≈ 82 by chance€769
  • 44,002≈ 4.5k by chance€25.55
  • 375,851≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,002 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€43,058
    584€769
    44,002€25.55
    375,851€4.00
    R0€0.50