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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 1 August 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 21
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 33
  6. 36
  7. 1
  8. 39

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,142 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-07-31All recent draws2018-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 21 26 30 33 36 + 1 3929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 262 of each

2278times
21258times
26257times
30251times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€691.6Kto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€172.7K
  • 420%€136.7K
  • 343%€295.9K
  • 1 other tier12%€86.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

269times
36303times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,141 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 21, 26, 33, 36) with the draw of 30 January 2017 — its closest relative in 2,141 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2018): 2 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.9 by chance
€172,664
  • 568≈ 80 by chance€1,270
  • 43,710≈ 4.4k by chance€36.84
  • 373,973≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,710 winners, 16% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€172,664
    568€1,270
    43,710€36.84
    373,973€4.00
    R0€0.50