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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 31 July 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 8
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 48
  7. 5
  8. 40

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,141 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-07-30All recent draws2018-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 8 20 22 48 + 5 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd5th
  • low94th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 262 of each

1270times
2277times
8246times
20274times
22

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€632.3Kto 82k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€139.9K
  • 418%€110.7K
  • 349%€311.7K
  • 1 other tier11%€70.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

269times
48262times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,140 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 8, 22) with the draw of 13 October 2017 — its closest relative in 2,140 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2018): 1 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.1 by chance
€69,958
  • 587≈ 84 by chance€804
  • 44,491≈ 4.6k by chance€24.66
  • 377,918≈ 85k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 77,918 winners, 8% fewer than the 85k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€69,958
    587€804
    44,491€24.66
    377,918€4.00
    R0€0.50