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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 5 July 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 25
  3. 39
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 48
  7. 1
  8. 4

Jackpot€1,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,119 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-07-04All recent draws2018-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 25 39 43 45 48 + 1 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 259 of each

23257times
25269times
39248times
43240times
45

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€739.6Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€182.2K
  • 420%€144.2K
  • 344%€322.1K
  • 1 other tier12%€91.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

258times
48261times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,118 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 39, 43, 48) with the draw of 24 March 2018 — its closest relative in 2,118 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 July 2018): 45 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

223

The numbers add up to 223 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.3 by chance
€91,103
  • 562≈ 87 by chance€1,469
  • 44,457≈ 4.8k by chance€32.36
  • 380,519≈ 87k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 80,519 winners, 8% fewer than the 87k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€91,103
    562€1,469
    44,457€32.36
    380,519€4.00
    R0€0.50