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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 4 July 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 12
  3. 20
  4. 41
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 9
  8. 43

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,118 of 4,854 under them

← 2018-07-03All recent draws2018-07-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 12 20 41 44 45 + 9 4329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 259 of each

5249times
12260times
20269times
41244times
44

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€785.3Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€194.6K
  • 420%€154.0K
  • 343%€339.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€97.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

241times
45257times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,117 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 41, 44, 45) with the draw of 21 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,117 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.5 by chance
€97,284
  • 571≈ 92 by chance€1,370
  • 44,248≈ 5.1k by chance€36.26
  • 384,859≈ 92k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,248 winners, 16% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€97,284
    571€1,370
    44,248€36.26
    384,859€4.00
    R0€0.50