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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 4 October 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 46
  7. 5
  8. 40

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,884 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-10-03All recent draws2017-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 17 20 22 46 + 5 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

2238times
7226times
17208times
20243times
22

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€933.4Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 630%€281.0K
  • 5+C15%€140.5K
  • 335%€322.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%€189.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

241times
46215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,883 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 7, 22, 46) with the draw of 11 March 2011 — its closest relative in 1,883 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€140,523
  • 5+C1≈ 4.3 by chance€140,523
  • 589≈ 87 by chance€824
  • 44,562≈ 4.8k by chance€25.45
  • 380,613≈ 88k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 80,613 winners, 8% fewer than the 88k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€140,523
    5+C1€140,523
    589€824
    44,562€25.45
    380,613€4.00
    R0€0.50