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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 3 October 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 36
  5. 39
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 15

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,883 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-10-02All recent draws2017-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 28 30 36 39 45 + 8 1529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

11237times
28232times
30223times
36261times
39

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 65k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 649%€574.8K
  • 5+C13%€157.1K
  • 321%€246.4K
  • 2 other tiers17%€203.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

220times
45224times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,882 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 28, 36, 45) with the draw of 3 March 2015 — its closest relative in 1,882 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2017): 11 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

189

The numbers add up to 189 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€574,827
  • 5+C1≈ 3.3 by chance€157,139
  • 550≈ 67 by chance€1,571
  • 43,069≈ 3.7k by chance€40.53
  • 361,609≈ 67k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,069 winners, 16% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€574,827
    5+C1€157,139
    550€1,571
    43,069€40.53
    361,609€4.00
    R0€0.50