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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 3 January 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 15
  4. 39
  5. 43
  6. 48
  7. 0
  8. 27

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,649 of 4,854 under them

← 2017-01-02All recent draws2017-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 15 39 43 48 + 0 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

5191times
6182times
15192times
39197times
43

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€613.6Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€152.5K
  • 420%€120.7K
  • 343%€264.2K
  • 1 other tier12%€76.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

188times
48192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,648 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 15, 43, 48) with the draw of 31 December 2015 — its closest relative in 1,648 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 3.5 by chance
€38,117
  • 547≈ 71 by chance€1,622
  • 43,414≈ 3.9k by chance€35.36
  • 366,047≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,414 winners, 13% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€38,117
    547€1,622
    43,414€35.36
    366,047€4.00
    R0€0.50