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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 January 2017

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 25
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 33
  6. 38
  7. 3
  8. 4

Jackpot€263,275

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,648 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-12-31All recent draws2017-01-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 25 27 31 33 38 + 3 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

8199times
25208times
27201times
31216times
33

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 646%€546.8K
  • 5+C13%€151.2K
  • 325%€290.0K
  • 2 other tiers17%€195.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

206times
38210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,647 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 27, 31, 38) with the draw of 25 June 2014 — its closest relative in 1,647 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2016): 38 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€546,769
  • 5+C2≈ 3.8 by chance€75,598
  • 574≈ 78 by chance€1,022
  • 43,923≈ 4.3k by chance€30.51
  • 372,494≈ 79k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,923 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€546,769
    5+C2€75,598
    574€1,022
    43,923€30.51
    372,494€4.00
    R0€0.50