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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 24 November 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 23
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 4
  8. 8

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,615 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-11-23All recent draws2016-11-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 23 37 40 41 48 + 4 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

9194times
23185times
37180times
40197times
41

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-24

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€547.8Kto 58k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • 539%€214.5K
  • 421%€113.2K
  • 340%€220.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.24 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

187times
48187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,614 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 37, 41, 48) with the draw of 24 September 2013 — its closest relative in 1,614 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 2.9 by chance
no winners
  • 550≈ 60 by chance€4,291
  • 42,816≈ 3.3k by chance€40.21
  • 355,018≈ 60k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,816 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    550€4,291
    42,816€40.21
    355,018€4.00
    R0€0.50