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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 23 November 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 34
  3. 42
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 49
  7. 9
  8. 19

Jackpot€543,776

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,614 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-11-22All recent draws2016-11-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 34 42 43 45 49 + 9 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

14196times
34204times
42221times
43183times
45

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 656%€863.7K
  • 5+C11%€170.6K
  • 319%€288.0K
  • 2 other tiers14%€220.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

194times
49195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,613 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 42, 43, 49) with the draw of 14 March 2011 — its closest relative in 1,613 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 November 2016): 14, 42 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

227

The numbers add up to 227 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 53% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€431,837
  • 5+C2≈ 3.8 by chance€85,306
  • 560≈ 78 by chance€1,422
  • 43,844≈ 4.3k by chance€35.14
  • 371,992≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,844 winners, 10% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€431,837
    5+C2€85,306
    560€1,422
    43,844€35.14
    371,992€4.00
    R0€0.50