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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 2 May 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 35

Jackpot€804,979

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,125 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-05-01All recent draws2015-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 11 20 43 44 + 4 3529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each

7134times
8125times
11133times
20146times
43

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-02

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€573.9Kto 68k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€138.4K
  • 419%€109.6K
  • 345%€256.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€69.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.28 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

127times
44137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,124 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 8, 11, 20) with the draw of 24 July 2013 — its closest relative in 1,124 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2015): 7, 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 43–44. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.4 by chance
€138,403
  • 574≈ 69 by chance€935
  • 43,389≈ 3.8k by chance€32.33
  • 364,172≈ 70k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,389 winners, 11% fewer than the 3.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€138,403
    574€935
    43,389€32.33
    364,172€4.00
    R0€0.50