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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 1 May 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 36
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 43
  7. 3
  8. 49

Jackpot€562,861

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,124 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-04-30All recent draws2015-05-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 36 39 41 43 + 3 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each

2133times
7133times
36161times
39152times
41

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€509.0Kto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 538%€193.7K
  • 420%€102.2K
  • 342%€213.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.23 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

130times
43126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,123 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 36, 39, 41) with the draw of 2 July 2014 — its closest relative in 1,123 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 47 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 2.8 by chance
no winners
  • 549≈ 58 by chance€3,953
  • 42,725≈ 3.2k by chance€37.51
  • 353,274≈ 58k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,725 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    549€3,953
    42,725€37.51
    353,274€4.00
    R0€0.50