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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 17 January 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 32
  5. 40
  6. 43
  7. 2
  8. 18

Jackpot€331,052

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 845 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-01-15All recent draws2014-01-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 23 25 32 40 43 + 2 1829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

21112times
23105times
25100times
32111times
40

Prize breakdown · 2014-01-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 97k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 63 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 646%€713.6K
  • 5+C13%€204.0K
  • 324%€365.5K
  • 2 other tiers17%€263.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 63≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
4389times

Every number was expected about that many times after 844 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 25, 32) with the draw of 14 January 2014 — its closest relative in 844 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 January 2014): 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

184

The numbers add up to 184 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€237,852
  • 5+C1≈ 4.8 by chance€204,002
  • 597≈ 99 by chance€1,052
  • 45,110≈ 5.4k by chance€31.60
  • 391,363≈ 99k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 91,363 winners, 8% fewer than the 99k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    63€237,852
    5+C1€204,002
    597€1,052
    45,110€31.60
    391,363€4.00
    R0€0.50