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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 15 January 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 31
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 43
  7. 2
  8. 47

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 844 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-01-14All recent draws2014-01-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 31 37 38 43 + 2 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

796times
11105times
31112times
3788times
38

Prize breakdown · 2014-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€719.5Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€176.6K
  • 419%€139.8K
  • 344%€314.9K
  • 1 other tier12%€88.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
4388times

Every number was expected about that many times after 843 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 37, 38) with the draw of 13 August 2013 — its closest relative in 843 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 January 2014): 38 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.2 by chance
€176,561
  • 579≈ 85 by chance€1,117
  • 44,170≈ 4.7k by chance€33.52
  • 378,714≈ 85k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,170 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€176,561
    579€1,117
    44,170€33.52
    378,714€4.00
    R0€0.50