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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 19 August 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 40
  7. 4
  8. 27

Jackpot€1,614,954

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 341 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-08-17All recent draws2011-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 20 21 25 40 + 4 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

1056times
1440times
2050times
2150times
25

Prize breakdown · 2011-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€934.7Kto 122k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.51

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€206.2K
  • 417%€163.2K
  • 349%€462.2K
  • 1 other tier11%€103.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.51 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
4049times

Every number was expected about that many times after 340 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 14, 20, 21) with the draw of 28 May 2010 — its closest relative in 340 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2011): 14, 25 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 6.1 by chance€206,183
  • 5103≈ 125 by chance€1,001
  • 46,800≈ 6.9k by chance€24.00
  • 3115,558≈ 125k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 115,558 winners, 8% fewer than the 125k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€206,183
    5103€1,001
    46,800€24.00
    3115,558€4.00
    R0€0.50