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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 17 August 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 18
  6. 25
  7. 8
  8. 9

Jackpot€504,326

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 340 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-08-16All recent draws2011-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 14 16 18 25 + 8 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd20th
  • low99th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

131times
433times
1439times
1632times
18

Prize breakdown · 2011-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€805.4Kto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€180.1K
  • 418%€142.6K
  • 349%€392.7K
  • 1 other tier11%€90.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.43 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
2546times

Every number was expected about that many times after 339 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 4, 16) with the draw of 27 May 2011 — its closest relative in 339 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 5.2 by chance
€180,080
  • 5117≈ 106 by chance€770
  • 45,667≈ 5.9k by chance€25.16
  • 398,166≈ 107k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 98,166 winners, 8% fewer than the 107k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€180,080
    5117€770
    45,667€25.16
    398,166€4.00
    R0€0.50