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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 18 January 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 32
  3. 34
  4. 44
  5. 46
  6. 48
  7. 5
  8. 8

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 10 of 4,855 under them

← 2010-01-15All recent draws2010-01-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 32 34 44 46 48 + 5 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 January 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

19oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

231time
322times
341time
440times
46

Prize breakdown · 2010-01-18

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€795.4Kto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€197.1K
  • 420%€156.1K
  • 343%€343.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€98.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
482times

Every number was expected about that many times after 9 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 6 numbers (48) with the draw of 15 January 2010 — its closest relative in 9 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 January 2010): 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

227

The numbers add up to 227 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 53% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.5 by chance
€197,124
  • 5119≈ 93 by chance€828
  • 44,561≈ 5.1k by chance€34.22
  • 385,909≈ 93k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,561 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€197,124
    5119€828
    44,561€34.22
    385,909€4.00
    R0€0.50