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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 15 January 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 17
  3. 27
  4. 40
  5. 48
  6. 49
  7. 4
  8. 21

Jackpot€1,232,625

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 9 of 4,855 under them

← 2010-01-13All recent draws2010-01-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 17 27 40 48 49 + 4 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

140times
172times
272times
401time
48

Prize breakdown · 2010-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 129k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.54

Where the money went

  • 661%€1.7M
  • 5+C10%€274.4K
  • 317%€489.9K
  • 2 other tiers12%€354.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.54 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
491time

Every number was expected about that many times after 8 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (17, 27) with the draw of 11 January 2010 — its closest relative in 8 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 January 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

195

The numbers add up to 195 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,747,068
  • 5+C3≈ 6.5 by chance€91,457
  • 596≈ 133 by chance€1,429
  • 46,136≈ 7.3k by chance€35.40
  • 3122,485≈ 133k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,136 winners, 16% fewer than the 7.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,747,068
    5+C3€91,457
    596€1,429
    46,136€35.40
    3122,485€4.00
    R0€0.50